Is the Hydrogen Car Dead? Searching for A Criminal That Might Not Exist

It has been more than 50 years now since General Motors unveiled the first hydrogen car. An engine running entirely on clean energy? Even more, outputting drinkable water? A deal almost too good to be true. However, it is also too good to give up on easily. Still, in the last few years, electric vehicles (EVs) have taken the “green” market almost on its entire. So, who killed the hydrogen car?

Searching for clues

Some might say it was the overhype. Others consider the possibility of conspiracies featuring Eastern petrol moguls, whom are trying to keep oil as the main fuel source for vehicles. If that’s the case, the plan works wonderfully. According to The Guardian, 95% of today’s cars are running on fossil fuels. Put in perspective, if oil reserves would be depleted in a month, world economy would instantly crash and we would go back to medieval horse riding.

Still, there still are oil reserves. And given that oil price has constantly dropped since the summer of 2016, filling up your car’s tank doesn’t require a bank loan anymore. Unfortunately, fuel prices did not drop because we have magically come across undiscovered oil sources, but because of economic slow-down in Europe and China, combined with US shale oil avalanching the market.

Myth busted!

Conspiracy theories have almost always fallen to pieces when a deeper analysis was done, digging for facts. As of January 17th, 2017, major oil companies and big automakers have signed an agreement towards offering more support to the development of hydrogen vehicles. The target is to multiply the current global investment of just $2 billion a year, compared to hundreds of billions spent on oil.

The fact is, everybody knows oil reserves will soon be depleted. On the same hand, apart from some shady activists, all individuals are more or less aware of the environmental impact that burned hydrocarbons have.

But still, why hydrogen?

Hydrogen fuel cell vehicles provide, at least in theory, a more than reasonable alternative. Fossil fuels are removed in their entire from the automotive process and only water gets out the exhaust pipe. Toyota Mirai was the first street legal hydrogen fuel cell vehicle to enter the US. Sadly, at $69.000 MRSP, it was hardly competitive. Not to mention that hydrogen refill stations are practically available only in California.

On the other hand, Battery Electric Vehicles seem the more reasonable, easier to implement option. This seems to be especially true with Plug-In EVs, which can be charged from a regular home power outlet. Independent survey by KPMG Global Automotive revealed that 2017 will keep electric vehicles trending high over hydrogen versions.

Arguments and predictions do however go head to head. About 75% of executives questioned by KPMG stated that, while BEVs are the eye-candy of the moment, hydrogen fuel cell technology will survive the test of time.

 

Where do you refill?

One of key points of FCVs (fuel cell vehicles) is the refill time. While battery electric cars take anywhere between 35 and 45 minutes, you can refill hydrogen as fast as you’d have with regular petrol or diesel – 5 minutes at most.

However, hydrogen refilling is also the nemesis. There are just 732 hydrogen charging stations around the world, compared to over 15.000 of electric stations just in US . Thus, hydrogen refill may be fast, but it’s difficult to find an actual station. And while it cost up to $2 million to establish a hydrogen station, electric charging zones have decreased in construction costs drastically.

All while providing multiple recharge points, extended mileage and tons of positive advertising from brands like Tesla, BEVs don’t seem to have gained an undefeatable lead, covering less than 5% of today’s car market.

Finally, is the hydrogen car actually dead? No.

We live in an era of trends: both positive and destructive. And, it is up to the end reader to sort throughout all the junk and find relevant information that is fully based on facts. The hydrogen car isn’t dead – globally speaking. Whether it is just a longer lasting trend, that is to be seen. However, for now there are plenty resourceful advocates giving hydrogen power bonus points and amazing concept cars.

Startup Nikola Motors has revealed a truck prototype showing the potential of hydrogen drives. Nikola One truck is promised to deliver up to 1,200 miles in one hydrogen fill. It’s not only able to go long, but also strong. Nikola One offers 1000hp and 2000 lb/ft of torque – going above high-end diesel engines.

Finally, given that Global Market for Hydrogen Fuel Cell Vehicles reports that, by 2020 there will be enough hydrogen filling infrastructure, it’s clear that we may soon witness FCVs passing along through traffic.

The hydrogen car isn’t dead. It just takes a little longer to develop, and in the end, its technology, along battery electric vehicles, will be forced towards consumers by depleting oil reserves.

Hver anden vil kun købe elbil, hvis afgifterne falder

Kun 4 % af danskerne vil købe en elbil, som deres næste bil. Elbiler er nemlig for dyre. Kun hvis afgifterne sænkes yderligere, vil hver anden købe elbil. Det viser en ny undersøgelse, som Kantar Gallup har lavet for Gjensidige Forsikring.

Hvilken type bil skal være din næste? Spørger man danskerne, er det benzin- og dieselbilen, der står højest på ønskelisten. Blot 4 % svarer, at de vil købe en elbil, som deres næste bil. Den er nemlig for dyr og har ikke stor nok rækkevidde.

Hver anden svarer dog, at lavere afgifter vil få dem til at skifte deres nuværende bil ud med en elbil.

”Det er en øjenåbner, at lavere afgifter og priser vil få flere til at udskifte deres nuværende bil med en elektrisk. Vores undersøgelse peger altså på, at det er helt afgørende, at afgifterne bliver sænket eller fjernet, så vi kan få flere elbiler ud på vejene. Jeg håber, at der fra politisk side er villighed til at gøre det mere økonomisk attraktivt at købe en mere miljøvenlig bil. Det bør i hvert fald være aktuelt, når nu flere partier kæmper om, hvem der er de mest grønne,” siger Henrik Sagild, skadedirektør i Gjensidige Forsikring.

Er der praktiske problemer med elbiler?

Mange danskere efterspørger el-biler til en lavere pris, men også rækkevidden, batteriets opladningshastighed og antallet af ladestationer er vigtige parametre, hvis den gamle bil skal opgraderes til en eldreven.

”Elbilen er som teknologi stadig ung, og de næste par år kommer til at byde på store fremskridt. Vi ser gradvist, hvordan rækkevidden bliver længere og batterierne bedre. Derfor er der lyse udsigter for en mere grøn dansk trafik, hvis blot danskerne udskifter de gamle biler med elbiler i takt med, at teknologien bliver endnu bedre,” siger Henrik Sagild.

Som benzin- og dieselbiler skal elbiler også forsikres gennem en lovpligtig bilforsikring med ansvarsforsikring.

I 2017 købte danskerne færre end 700 elbiler

Hele 43 % af det danske elforbrug var i 2017 dækket af vindenergi, og med fokus på at bygge nye, effektive vindmøller, vil dette tal sandsynligvis kun stige i fremtiden. Danmark har de bedste forudsætninger for at blive en af verdens grønne oaser, når det kommer til omstilling til miljøvenlig trafik.

Desværre har salget af elbiler stort set ikke udviklet sig siden 2015, og tilføjelsen af registreringsafgift har altså haft sin tydelige effekt på antallet af solgte elbiler. I dag er kun ca. 9.000 af de 2.5 mio. biler i Danmark elbiler.

”Danmark har tidligere været kendt som en grøn stormagt. Det håber jeg, at vi kan blive igen. Resultaterne i vores analyse viser meget tydeligt, at danskerne har gode hensigter, når det kommer til elbiler. Med lavere afgifter og yderligere teknologisk udvikling kan Danmark blive elbils-foregangsland, ligesom eksempelvis vores naboer mod Nord i Norge er blevet det,” siger Henrik Sagild.

Om undersøgelsen

Undersøgelsen er foretaget af Kantar Gallup for Gjensidige Forsikring blandt 1841 repræsentativt udvalgte danskere i februar 2018.

Hvilken type bil regner du med, bliver den næste du køber?

  • Benzinbil 33 %
  • Dieselbil 13 %
  • El-bil 4 %
  • Hybridbil 10 %
  • Regner ikke med at købe bil de næste mange år 30 %
  • Ved ikke 10 %

Hvorfor vil du ikke købe en el-bil?

  • Fordi den ikke kan køre langt nok på én opladning 27 %
  • Fordi den er for dyr 39 %
  • Jeg ser ikke el-biler som et reelt alternativ til benzin/dieselbiler 9 %
  • El-biler er ikke gode nok i forhold til benzin/dieselbiler 6 %
  • Af praktiske årsager der er andet end ovenstående 11 %
  • Andet, notér 17 %
  • Ved ikke 15 %

Hvad skal der til, for at du vil skifte din nuværende bil ud med en el-bil?

  • Lavere afgifter/pris 51 %
  • Større udvalg i el-biler 18 %
  • Større rækkevidde på en opladning 47 %
  • Hurtigere opladning af batteri 26 %
  • Bedre sikkerhed i el-biler 4 %
  • At der kommer flere ladestationer på de danske veje 31 %
  • Mere tydeligt bevis på at el-biler er bedre for miljøet 9 %
  • Når tiden er rigtig for at skifte min nuværende bil 16 %
  • Andet, notér 7 %
  • Jeg har allerede en el-bil 0 %
  • Ved ikke 16 %